Difference between revisions of "China's global role: challenging the US"

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Geopolitics – China, US Japan: A Brewing Storm in the Western Pacific
+
[https://4edu.info/images/a/a0/Chine-RapportIIRF1811126-Eng.ppt Powerpoint]
Tuesday 23 July 2013 by BELLO Walden
 
[http://www.europe-solidaire.org/spip.php?article37218]
 
  
 +
Ecosocialist School 2018 - IIRE - November 26
 +
Xi Jinping, China's global role and global challenges
 +
Pierre Rousset
  
Chinese ambitions - An imperialism in formation
+
Introduction
Friday 6 June 2014, by  ROUSSET Pierre
 
[http://www.europe-solidaire.org/spip.php?article32582]
 
  
+ + +
+
The "over-determining" framework of the global situation: the global ecological crisis.
  
China’s first overseas military base in Djibouti – A step in it’s emergence as a global military power
+
The "over-determining" framework of the global geopolitical situation: the global expansion of Chinese power
Wednesday 2 December 2015, by  BREWSTER David
 
[http://www.europe-solidaire.org/spip.php?article36591]
 
  
+ + +
+
An uncertain future (consequences of a possible major regime crisis in China?).
  
The Chinese CP, Japan and the South China Sea : Past & Present
+
Geopolitics today: the confrontation between the rising power (China) and the established power (United States).
Chinese Nationalisms, Internationalism and Big Power Chauvinisms
 
Monday 7 July 2014, by  AU Loong-Yu
 
[http://www.europe-solidaire.org/spip.php?article32959]
 
  
+ + +
+
If the current dynamic continues: there is a tendency towards a radical change in the world order (reconstitution of two power-blocks operating according to different political and economic logics).
  
From whence did the new Chinese capitalism emerge? “Bourgeoisification” of the bureaucracy and globalization
+
Already, the "China factor" has implications for all domains.
From bureaucratic counter-revolution to bourgeois counter-revolution
 
Sunday 23 February 2014, by  ROUSSET Pierre
 
[http://www.europe-solidaire.org/spip.php?article32325]
 
  
+ + +
 
  
The Voice for Change – On Hong Kong’s 2016 Legislative Council Election Results
+
I. Xi Jinping's China
Wednesday 14 September 2016, by  AU Loong-Yu
+
 
[http://www.europe-solidaire.org/spip.php?article38971]
+
Historical background: from China of Mao to the China of Deng to the China of Xi
 +
 
 +
Processes: social revolution, bureaucratic counter-revolution as a precondition for bourgeois counter-revolution, political regime changes within capitalist China.
 +
 
 +
 
 +
1. A new, absolutist power structure.
 +
 
 +
2. A new state ideology that is both archaic (''red bloodlines'') and modern (the nationalism of a great power).
 +
 
 +
3. A model of authoritarian (classic) capitalist development, based on a very specific social formation (which we know only imperfectly).
 +
 
 +
 
 +
3. A new global ambition.
 +
 
 +
=> The Chinese century = a rather classic imperialist project thought of as a global civilizational alternative.
 +
 
 +
The Achilles' heel: an impractical absolutist project?
 +
 
 +
As long as there is hope for a better life... But when the crisis comes?
 +
 
 +
 
 +
II. Military expansion
 +
 
 +
A purely imperialism? A contradiction in terms.
 +
 
 +
The change in military doctrine.
 +
 
 +
The development of naval forces
 +
 
 +
The development of advanced weapons
 +
 
 +
Cyber security
 +
 
 +
The weaknesses of the Chinese armed forces and the defensive alliance with Russia.
 +
 
 +
The Pentagon's concerns and the limits of the US superpower.
 +
 
 +
The Trump factor, the European Union, Japan and Australia.
 +
 
 +
The situation in East Asia and the North Pacific.
 +
 
 +
Global deployment is taking shape.
 +
 
 +
 
 +
III. Economic expansion
 +
 
 +
Two steps.
 +
 
 +
All-round expansion: "the belt and the road" (OBOR).
 +
 
 +
Includes everything (cultural), but the pillar is: infrastructure.
 +
 
 +
Multifunctional: opportunities for sectors suffering from overproduction, strategic investments (communications), political influence up to Latin America)...
 +
 
 +
Financial institutions "in" (IMF) and "out" (AIIB)
 +
 
 +
The importance of "corridors" (Pakistan, Burma, Malaysia...).
 +
 
 +
Debt as a weapon of domination (concessions: Sri Lanka).
 +
 
 +
Problem: profitability and political reactions (Malaysia, Africa...).
 +
 
 +
=> Reassessment in progress.
 +
 
 +
Economic expansion remains, but what about the OBOR program?
 +
 
 +
 
 +
The US counter-offensive
 +
 
 +
A very serious conflict on all fronts.
 +
 
 +
The war over custom duties and foreign investment in China.
 +
 
 +
The currency war.
 +
 
 +
The financing war ("development aid").
 +
 
 +
The technology war.
 +
 
 +
Indispensable China.
 +
 
 +
Debts in China?
 +
 
 +
 
 +
IV Where are we going?
 +
 
 +
Obama and the price of paralysis (failure to refocus on the "Asian pivot").
 +
 
 +
Trump is the price of unilateralism (the loss of confidence of the allies).
 +
 
 +
The "China factor" (Interpol, WHO, biodiversity...).
 +
 
 +
The climatic coup de grâce.
 +
 
 +
Solidarity and the new framework for internationalist action.
 +
 
 +
[http://www.europe-solidaire.org/spip.php?article46591 Pierre Rousset: Chinese geopolitics: continuities, inflections, uncertainties] (2018)
 +
 
 +
[http://www.europe-solidaire.org/spip.php?article46516 Pierre Rousset: The inter-Korean summit and the situation in North-East Asia] (2018)
 +
 
 +
[http://www.europe-solidaire.org/spip.php?article42297 Au Loong-Yu: The 19th Congress of the Chinese Communist Party – Modernisation by a pre-modern bureaucracy?] (2017)

Latest revision as of 11:37, 25 November 2018

Powerpoint

Ecosocialist School 2018 - IIRE - November 26 Xi Jinping, China's global role and global challenges Pierre Rousset

Introduction

The "over-determining" framework of the global situation: the global ecological crisis.

The "over-determining" framework of the global geopolitical situation: the global expansion of Chinese power

An uncertain future (consequences of a possible major regime crisis in China?).

Geopolitics today: the confrontation between the rising power (China) and the established power (United States).

If the current dynamic continues: there is a tendency towards a radical change in the world order (reconstitution of two power-blocks operating according to different political and economic logics).

Already, the "China factor" has implications for all domains.


I. Xi Jinping's China

Historical background: from China of Mao to the China of Deng to the China of Xi

Processes: social revolution, bureaucratic counter-revolution as a precondition for bourgeois counter-revolution, political regime changes within capitalist China.


1. A new, absolutist power structure.

2. A new state ideology that is both archaic (red bloodlines) and modern (the nationalism of a great power).

3. A model of authoritarian (classic) capitalist development, based on a very specific social formation (which we know only imperfectly).


3. A new global ambition.

=> The Chinese century = a rather classic imperialist project thought of as a global civilizational alternative.

The Achilles' heel: an impractical absolutist project?

As long as there is hope for a better life... But when the crisis comes?


II. Military expansion

A purely imperialism? A contradiction in terms.

The change in military doctrine.

The development of naval forces

The development of advanced weapons

Cyber security

The weaknesses of the Chinese armed forces and the defensive alliance with Russia.

The Pentagon's concerns and the limits of the US superpower.

The Trump factor, the European Union, Japan and Australia.

The situation in East Asia and the North Pacific.

Global deployment is taking shape.


III. Economic expansion

Two steps.

All-round expansion: "the belt and the road" (OBOR).

Includes everything (cultural), but the pillar is: infrastructure.

Multifunctional: opportunities for sectors suffering from overproduction, strategic investments (communications), political influence up to Latin America)...

Financial institutions "in" (IMF) and "out" (AIIB)

The importance of "corridors" (Pakistan, Burma, Malaysia...).

Debt as a weapon of domination (concessions: Sri Lanka).

Problem: profitability and political reactions (Malaysia, Africa...).

=> Reassessment in progress.

Economic expansion remains, but what about the OBOR program?


The US counter-offensive

A very serious conflict on all fronts.

The war over custom duties and foreign investment in China.

The currency war.

The financing war ("development aid").

The technology war.

Indispensable China.

Debts in China?


IV Where are we going?

Obama and the price of paralysis (failure to refocus on the "Asian pivot").

Trump is the price of unilateralism (the loss of confidence of the allies).

The "China factor" (Interpol, WHO, biodiversity...).

The climatic coup de grâce.

Solidarity and the new framework for internationalist action.

Pierre Rousset: Chinese geopolitics: continuities, inflections, uncertainties (2018)

Pierre Rousset: The inter-Korean summit and the situation in North-East Asia (2018)

Au Loong-Yu: The 19th Congress of the Chinese Communist Party – Modernisation by a pre-modern bureaucracy? (2017)