Difference between revisions of "14/12 The Arab revolutions: Alain Baron"

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=Outline of lecture=
==2. The revolutionary crises in Tunisia and in Egypt==
*2.1. Global context of crisis of capitalism financial, economic and ecological crisis.
*2.2. Crisis of the dominant oligarchies in power in Tunisia and in Egypt:<br> “those from above can not rule anymore like before”<br>
*2.3. “Those from below don’t want to be rules like before anymore”:<br> revolt of the youth, mobilisations by the workers and the “intermediary layers”<br>
*2.4. The major phases since January-February in both countries (rather long part)<br>
*2.5. An unstable situation, globally the relationship of forces is maintained,<br> the process started at the beginning of 2011 is not closed<br>
*2.6. A chaotic dynamic of extension to the whole of the region<br>


==3. The limits of these processes==
*3.1. Weakness of self organisation
*3.2. Absence of revolutionary mass party : a small and fragmented radical left
*3.3. A difficult link between youth and organisations of adults
*3.4. In Tunisia, a difficult link between the people of the most developed cities and the poor regions of the interior of the country
*3.5. Le weight of decades of dictatorship
*3.6. Mass islamist parties
*3.7. The essential parts of the previous State apparatus is kept in place
*3.8. Capacity of the dominant classes and of imperialism to regain the initiative:
*'''Tunisia''':
**the High Council is installed, they use for their own agenda <br>the popular demand for a constituent Assembly
**attacks against women’s rights
*'''Egypt''': 
**referendum in February
**legislation against the right to strike
**attacks against freedom of speech
**elections in November
==4. What Prospects?==
*4.1. A break with capitalism and imperialism: on what conditions<br>( declaration of the Fourth International, interview Hamma Hammami …)<br>
*4.2. Towards a “democratisation at the level of the Maghreb-Machrek region”? (Gus)<br>
*4.3. Towards the stabilisation of religious and conservative regimes? <br>(the “Turkish model”)?<br>
*4.4. Towards totalitarian religious regimes?<br>
==5. Build international solidarity==
*Campaign against the debt
*Support for mobilisations of workers, trade-unions, <br>defence of women’s rights,<br> mobilisations of the youth and for freedom<br>
*Help with the building of a revolutionary vanguard<br>

Revision as of 17:20, 13 December 2011

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