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| outline:
| | [http://www.europe-solidaire.org/spip.php?article46591 Pierre Rousset: Chinese geopolitics: continuities, inflections, uncertainties] (2018) |
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| Introduction
| | [http://www.europe-solidaire.org/spip.php?article46516 Pierre Rousset: The inter-Korean summit and the situation in North-East Asia] (2018) |
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| Current developments: China's Xi Jinping
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| Fudamental issues: Chinese regime transformations from Mao to Deng and Deng to Xi
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| Geopolitical issues: East Asia, the international China / USA confrontation, where does world history take place?
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| For the general framework: see Peter's report "Imperialism, from the highest stage of capitalism to globalization"
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| I. China's Xi Jinping
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| A significant change in the mode of governance (ie the political regime)
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| Taking the initiative in East Asia:
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| Military: the reclamation of the South China Sea, the rivalry with Japan, the VII US Fleet and the political factor
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| Economic: role of the Chinese market and investments
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| Politics: a model of authoritarian capitalist development
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| The implementation of a global ambition. Imperialist in its projects and practices. Control the ways and means of communication, the food and mineral resources ...
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| The new silk roads
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| The military deployment
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| Financial strength
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| A turning point in post-Mao history and its contradictions.
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| When the crisis comes
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| II. How did China become imperialist?
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| Apparent continuity of the CCP, reality of qualitative change in all domains.
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| The army or the navy?
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| The radicality of social change: Two upheavals of the class structure in China: after 1949, then from the 80s: Bourgeoisie, working class, peasantry, women, ideology, etc.
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| The internal conditions of the birth of a new bourgeoisie:
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| The CCP and the Maoist regime after 49: an internal, evolutionary contradiction.
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| The narrowing, then the loss of the mass base of the original Maoism.
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| The Cultural Revolution and the completion of the bureaucratic counter-revolution.
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| The political conditions of the turn towards the capitalist transition.
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| From a dominant layer (state bureaucracy in a transitional society) to a wealthy (bourgeois) class. Transmission to the heirs.
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| A specific form of bureaucratic capitalism: families, state enterprises and individual capital. An original social formation.
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| Birth of a new independent bourgeoisie.
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| The international conditions of its expansion:
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| Capitalist globalization and the freedom of capital movement.
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| The end of the exclusive control of a territory (in subordinate alliance with the elites) by an imperialism.
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| The optimism of capital "in globalization" after the implosion of the USSR.
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| Subordination? The question asked in China in the early 2000s.
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| III. Asian and world geopolitics
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| The Korean crisis and its regional implications
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| A specific issue: access to the Pacific Ocean for China, international navigation in the China Sea.
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| The initiative has changed sides.
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| A general issue: the geopolitical place of East Asia for all the major powers.
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| Obama and the bankruptcy of the retrenchment (the "Asian pivot"). Trump and the credibility of the US commitment to its allies.
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| Expansionism as a response to the risk of internal crisis - until when?
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| The new Great Leap Forward - how far? Technological innovations, modernization of the armed forces and test of fire ...
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| Xi Jinping's regime as a crisis factor. When will the crisis come?
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| Structuring global geopolitics: from conflict within a relationship of interdependence to interdependence within a geopolitical conflict.
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| Rising power (China) and established power (USA).
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| -----
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| Au Loong-yu, Pierre Rousset - The 19th Congress of the Chinese Communist Party – Modernisation by a pre-modern bureaucracy? 2017 [http://www.europe-solidaire.org/spip.php?article42297]
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| Au Loong-yu - China: End of a Model…Or the Birth of a New One? 2009 [http://www.europe-solidaire.org/spip.php?article14573]
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| Pierre Rousset: From whence did the new Chinese capitalism emerge? “Bourgeoisification” of the bureaucracy and globalization 2014 [http://www.europe-solidaire.org/spip.php?article32325] | |